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Time‐Series Factor Modeling and Selection

Journal
Journal of Financial Research
Date Issued
August 2024
Author(s)
Michaelides, Michael  
DOI
10.1111/jfir.12429
Abstract
The article proposes a statistical time-series factor model that incorporates deterministic orthogonal trend polynomials. Such polynomials allow capturing variation in returns without initially identifying a set of robust time-series factors. This modeling approach can serve as a coherent basis for testing and selecting the most relevant factors among a set of possible ones. Additionally, it can help identify whether any factors are missing from a time-series asset pricing model. The use of the proposed model and empirical strategy is illustrated by two empirical applications from the literature, yielding results related to the Fama-French five-factor model and the factor zoo.
Subjects

Factor Modeling

File(s)
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MICHAELIDES_2024.pdf

Size

1.41 MB

Format

Adobe PDF

Checksum (MD5)

0b863385524f6b7ba29cc640549db91b

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