Ανάλυση κόστους-οφέλους για τη διείσδυση των ανανεώσιμων πηγών ενέργειας στην Κύπρο μέχρι το 2030

Abstract

The aim for this project is to calculate the Social Cost - Benefit Analysis of Renewable Energy that will be applied in Cyprus until 2030. The analysis for the period 2015-2030 is made every five years, for more realistic results. At first, the project refers to the Renewable Energy technologies applied in Cyprus and then gives some basic information about each one of them. Then a literature review of the methodology is conducted that will follow the thesis, which analyzes in detail what exactly the cost-benefit analysis calculates. Following is a chapter all of Preliminary calculations required so that we can accomplish the Cost Benefit Analysis. The next chapter contains the analysis of the four energies that concern us (photovoltaic, wind, solar thermal systems and biomass systems). Therefore, the technologies of thermal stations will be replaced with renewable technologies, four scenarios are analyzed, two believing that all conventional generation of Cyprus will use natural gas from the early 2020s, and two scenarios assuming that the use of fuel oil and diesel fuel will continue in thermal power plants as today. Furthermore, the last chapter contains the conclusions drawn from the analysis made for each of the four renewable technologies. In general, the cost-benefit analysis used is a useful technique that has been exporting several useful conclusions whether the investment can peruse be advantageous. Our use of alternative scenarios helped to test the sensitivity of investments in different variations. When calculations are made for the replacement of diesel and fuel oil combustion plants for energy production from renewable energy technologies is worth in economic terms the investment. But if calculations are made for replacing combustion plants of Natural Gas for power generation from renewable energy technologies is not worth in economic terms the investment.